Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:02:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72c7…5436
other · 130 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$49
Realized−$73
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses16 / 113
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)129 / 130
History coverage102d
Avg bet$167
Trades / day4.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit70%
Chart Positions 1 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$10
14 days−$26
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No 95¢ 94¢ $49 $49 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $44 $0 -0%
Will Scotland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $24 $0 -1%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $101 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 12 $68 −$1 -1%
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 12 $146 $0 -0%
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Jun 12 $51 $0 -1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 11 $9 $0 -0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $46 $0 -1%
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $56 −$1 -2%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $203 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 10 $60 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $56 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 10 $300 −$1 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 10 $299 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $310 −$1 -0%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 09 $50 $0 -1%
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $15 $0 -1%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $57 $0 -1%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Jun 07 $56 −$1 -2%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 06 $101 −$1 -1%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Jun 06 $57 $0 -1%
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in Jun 06 $105 −$2 -2%
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 05 $153 −$2 -1%
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $49 $0 -0%
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 05 $356 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $49 −$1 -2%
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $48 −$4 -9%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $57 $0 -0%
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Jun 03 $59 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 03 $86 $0 -0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 02 $39 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee Jun 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 02 $165 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $204 −$1 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 01 $860 −$1 -0%
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $40 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $234 −$1 -1%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $165 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? May 30 $407 $0 +0%
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? May 28 $229 −$2 -1%
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $460 −$2 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 28 $55 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 28 $44 $0 -0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? May 27 $54 $0 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $65 $0 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 23 $129 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 22 $101 −$1 -1%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $472 −$1 -0%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 22 $63 −$3 -5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 21 $52 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 30% −$18
other 26% −$21
sports 21% −$18
crypto 11% −$6
world 3% −$2
economics 3% −$2
finance 2% −$2
culture 2% −$4
tech 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 95¢ $49 1h
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL No 98¢ $44 1h
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY No 98¢ $44 6h
Will Scotland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $24 6h
Will Scotland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $24 13h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $56 14h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 98¢ $57 18h
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 96¢ $67 19h
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 97¢ $51 24h
Will Turkiye reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 97¢ $18 24h
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 96¢ $42 25h
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $42 33h
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? SELL No 96¢ $51 33h
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? BUY No 97¢ $51 38h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 SELL No 97¢ $9 39h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 97¢ $2 44h
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 BUY No 97¢ $7 44h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 96¢ $45 45h
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 97¢ $46 2d
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 93¢ $55 2d
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $43 2d
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 94¢ $13 2d
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 93¢ $6 2d
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 92¢ $6 2d
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? SELL No 96¢ $59 2d
Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY No 96¢ $60 2d
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 94¢ $55 2d
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 95¢ $56 3d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 95¢ $55 3d
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 95¢ $56 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -0.7% -10.2% 0% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 62 -0.9% -10.4% 8% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 115 -0.6% -10.1% 10% 0% -9.9%
all 129 -0.5% -10.0% 12% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.5%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $49.12 · official $49.12 (match) · 520 history records