Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T00:10:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
72 0x72bc…b24e sports 1136 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$1,104 (+2%) realized +$1,104 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate96%1091W / 45L
Drawdown11%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day69.1pace
Fees−$109est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$95
7 days+$419
14 days+$741
30 days+$1,464
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 94% +$1,460
other 5% +$147
crypto 0% +$3
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 226 +2.2% -7.5% 95% 5% -7.3%
≤30d 934 +2.2% -7.5% 96% 5% -7.4%
≤90d 1136 +2.1% -7.6% 96% 5% -7.5%
all 1136 +2.1% -7.6% 96% 5% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 5% -7.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 1% -16.4%
15% -24.5% 0% -24.4%
20% -31.9% 0% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$22 · ×0.11 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×2.62 per $1 lost it wins $2.62
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,104
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1091 / 45
Est. fees paid−$109
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1136 / 1136
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$64
Trades / day69.1
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1136 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Jun 28 $34 +$1 +3%
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 28 $168 +$6 +3%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 28 $134 +$4 +3%
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5 Jun 28 $16 $0 +2%
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 28 $24 +$1 +4%
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 28 $44 +$1 +2%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? Jun 28 $136 −$1 -1%
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 28 $97 +$3 +3%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? Jun 28 $29 +$2 +7%
T20 Blast: Kent vs Hampshire Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Somerset Jun 28 $3 +$1 +17%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $10 $0 +2%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $24 +$1 +3%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Durham Jun 28 $5 $0 +2%
T20 Blast: Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire Jun 28 $15 $0 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Bangladesh Jun 28 $41 +$1 +2%
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants Jun 28 $9 $0 +2%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos Jun 28 $14 $0 +4%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 28 $128 +$4 +4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Jun 28 $115 +$2 +2%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $102 +$6 +6%
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 28 $49 +$9 +18%
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 28 $33 +$1 +2%
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 28 $172 +$4 +2%
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? Jun 28 $37 +$1 +3%
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw? Jun 28 $183 −$76 -42%
Overwatch: Dallas Fuel vs Disguised (BO3) - OCS North America Stage 2 Jun 28 $5 $0 +5%
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? Jun 28 $179 +$13 +7%
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5) Jun 28 $23 +$1 +4%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $110 +$4 +4%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $89 +$8 +9%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $40 +$2 +6%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? Jun 28 $66 +$7 +10%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 28 $28 +$1 +3%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 28 $121 +$6 +5%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 27 $7 $0 +4%
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? Jun 27 $182 +$11 +6%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 27 $7 −$7 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 27 $65 +$5 +7%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealand Jun 27 $35 +$2 +4%
Spread: Croatia (-1.5) Jun 27 $19 +$1 +3%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 27 $11 $0 +2%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? Jun 27 $33 +$2 +7%
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 27 $43 +$1 +3%
Rainbow Six Siege: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO1) - South America League Stage Jun 27 $6 $0 +3%
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Kopp Jun 27 $12 +$3 +25%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs G2 Minnesota - Game 3 Winner Jun 27 $27 +$1 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Ireland Jun 27 $38 +$1 +3%
Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics - Game 3 Winner Jun 27 $24 $0 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Netherlands Jun 27 $57 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 97¢ $34 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 98¢ $94 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 95¢ $73 1h
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 97¢ $134 2h
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Chicago Cubs 96¢ $24 2h
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5 BUY Over 98¢ $16 2h
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Kansas City Royals 98¢ $44 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? SELL Yes 93¢ $100 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 85¢ $1 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 85¢ $34 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? SELL No 28¢ $6 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 72¢ $23 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY Yes 84¢ $29 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY No 88¢ $4 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY No 88¢ $16 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? SELL No 87¢ $29 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? BUY No 84¢ $28 3h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? SELL No 90¢ $4 3h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? SELL No 90¢ $1 3h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? SELL No 90¢ $26 3h
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Texas Rangers 97¢ $62 3h
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Texas Rangers 97¢ $35 3h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28? BUY No 84¢ $29 4h
T20 Blast: Kent vs Hampshire BUY Kent 98¢ $6 6h
T20 Blast: Kent vs Hampshire SELL Kent 88¢ $1 6h
T20 Blast: Kent vs Hampshire SELL Kent 88¢ $3 6h
T20 Blast: Kent vs Hampshire BUY Kent 85¢ $4 6h
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Somerset BUY Worcestershire 85¢ $3 8h
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Durham SELL Durham 92¢ $5 8h
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Durham BUY Durham 90¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records