Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72ab…e1ee
crypto · 581 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$295 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$300 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized+$300
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses291 / 289
Open positions1
Markets (closed)580 / 581
History coverage2d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day1432.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 580 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$263
7 days+$300
14 days+$300
30 days+$300
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 54¢ 52¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 58¢ 48¢ $29 $24 −$5 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $56 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $64 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $80 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $92 +$40 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$11 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$11 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$18 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$20 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $44 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$12 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $35 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$5 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $65 −$4 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $83 +$35 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$14 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$28 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$13 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$26 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$12 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$295
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $9 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $14 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $20 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $18 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $22 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $26 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $26 28m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 580 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.3%
≤30d 580 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.3%
≤90d 580 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.3%
all 580 -1.5% -10.9% 50% 41% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1432.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 41% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 32% -17.1%
15% -27.2% 24% -25.1%
20% -34.3% 16% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.72 · official $52.17 (match) · 3500 history records