Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:16:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x72aa…90e0
sports · 239 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$245,739 +314%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,637 · open +$276
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,167
Realized−$3,637
Unrealized+$276
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses112 / 113
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$1,519
Open positions14
Markets (closed)225 / 239
History coverage9d
Avg bet$328
Trades / day360.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 225 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$272
7 days−$1,580
14 days−$3,637
30 days−$3,637
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner HOTU 58¢ 100¢ $217 $371 +$154 (+71%)
Set 1 Winner: Majchrzak vs Minaur Majchrzak 58¢ 82¢ $232 $330 +$98 (+42%)
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) KOLESIE 58¢ 55¢ $273 $254 −$18 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs KOLESIE 22¢ 23¢ $191 $195 +$4 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs HOTU 79¢ 77¢ $166 $162 −$4 (-2%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 54¢ 48¢ $162 $146 −$16 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner KOLESIE 22¢ 54¢ $58 $142 +$84 (+144%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 53¢ 55¢ $109 $112 +$4 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner HOTU 57¢ 46¢ $120 $98 −$22 (-19%)
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) HOTU 29¢ 46¢ $60 $93 +$34 (+57%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Mattia Bellucci 65¢ 56¢ $65 $56 −$8 (-13%)
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 54¢ 46¢ $60 $52 −$8 (-14%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Kamil Majchrzak 31¢ 52¢ $27 $45 +$18 (+66%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Rinky Hijikata 37¢ 38¢ $33 $34 +$1 (+2%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Tom Gentzsch 18¢ 30¢ $18 $30 +$12 (+67%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 52¢ 46¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-13%)
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Gentzsch Gentzsch 23¢ 44¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+89%)
Set 1 Winner: Kovacevic vs Perricard Kovacevic 47¢ 40¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-16%)
Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs Giron Hijikata 35¢ 39¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+11%)
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritz Fritz 31¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 58¢ 0¢ $231 $0 −$231 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Duckworth Lehecka 49¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Vukic vs Wendelken Vukic 58¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Adrian Mannarino 30¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Pavlasek/Rikl vs. Bergs/Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $36 −$20 -56%
Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs Bolt Jun 14 $21 +$5 +25%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $63 +$39 +61%
Set 1 Winner: Collignon vs Agut Jun 14 $23 +$27 +117%
Set 1 Winner: Vukic vs Wendelken Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $70 −$44 -63%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $21 −$20 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Svajda vs Damm Jun 14 $9 −$1 -9%
Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $197 +$129 +65%
Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs Minaur Jun 13 $177 −$11 -6%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $122 −$120 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $140 −$40 -29%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 13 $122 −$70 -57%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $297 +$61 +20%
Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Kamil Majchrzak: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $81 +$38 +47%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $182 +$198 +108%
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Majchrzak Jun 12 $126 +$13 +10%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $97 +$14 +14%
Benjamin Bonzi vs. Alex de Minaur: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $214 +$78 +36%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $162 +$38 +24%
Nuno Borges vs. Marin Cilic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $268 +$4 +1%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $126 −$26 -21%
Set 1 Winner: Bonzi vs Minaur Jun 12 $209 +$22 +10%
Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $162 +$20 +12%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $982 −$219 -22%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $474 −$311 -66%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $37 +$7 +18%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $30 −$20 -65%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $108 +$15 +14%
Zhizhen Zhang vs. Adrian Mannarino: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $94 +$69 +74%
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Mannarino Jun 12 $218 +$70 +32%
Pavlasek/Rikl vs. Bergs/Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $358 −$147 -41%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $49 −$31 -63%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $235 +$75 +32%
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Jun 11 $51 −$4 -8%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $361 +$38 +10%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $962 +$386 +40%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5) Jun 11 $273 −$130 -48%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $178 −$33 -19%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $670 +$77 +12%
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Cilic Jun 11 $11 +$1 +5%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggerman Jun 11 $83 −$17 -21%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $173 −$45 -26%
Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $192 +$22 +12%
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Boogaard Jun 11 $156 +$44 +28%
Adrian Mannarino vs. Arthur Rinderknech: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $66 +$52 +79%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $450 +$167 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$3,361
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 40¢ $10 4m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 21¢ $52 5m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 34¢ $83 5m
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) SELL KOLESIE 41¢ $3 5m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 38¢ $20 5m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 40¢ $8 6m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL KOLESIE 19¢ $8 6m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 40¢ $12 6m
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) SELL KOLESIE 40¢ $12 6m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 49¢ $121 6m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $20 6m
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) BUY KOLESIE 52¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 47¢ $119 6m
Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs Bolt SELL Bolt 55¢ $14 7m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL KOLESIE 21¢ $12 7m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL KOLESIE 21¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL KOLESIE 21¢ $4 7m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 50¢ $124 7m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL KOLESIE 21¢ $1 7m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner SELL KOLESIE 54¢ $16 7m
Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs Giron SELL Hijikata 43¢ $11 8m
Set 1 Winner: Kovacevic vs Perricard BUY Kovacevic 47¢ $0 9m
Set 1 Winner: Kovacevic vs Perricard BUY Kovacevic 47¢ $12 9m
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) SELL KOLESIE 60¢ $7 10m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 60¢ $7 10m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $6 10m
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) BUY KOLESIE 50¢ $6 10m
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner BUY KOLESIE 44¢ $112 10m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 34¢ $4 11m
Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) SELL KOLESIE 46¢ $25 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 -15.8% -23.9% 45% 38% -13.2%
≤30d 225 -11.6% -20.0% 50% 42% -14.0%
≤90d 225 -11.6% -20.0% 50% 42% -14.0%
all 225 -11.6% -20.0% 50% 42% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover360.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 42% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 28% -22.2%
15% -34.7% 17% -29.7%
20% -41.1% 11% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,166.78 · official $2,153.41 (match) · 3500 history records