Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T09:46:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
72 0x7297…80ed crypto 899 markets active 7d ago coverage 229d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$62 (+1%) realized +$62 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate66%593W / 306L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day5.8pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$1
14 days−$21
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 66% −$93
sports 14% +$41
finance 12% +$56
other 5% +$13
world 1% +$2
tech 1% −$7
economics 1% $0
culture 1% −$7
politics 0% −$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +17.9% +6.7% 76% 71% -7.8%
≤30d 517 +2.8% -7.0% 58% 50% -12.4%
≤90d 645 +1.3% -8.4% 64% 41% -11.7%
all 899 +0.4% -9.2% 66% 42% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 42% -9.5%
10% -17.9% 34% -18.1%
15% -25.8% 24% -26.0%
20% -33.1% 7% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late +3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.52 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

229d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$62
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses593 / 306
Open positions0
Markets (closed)899 / 899
History coverage229d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day5.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 899 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +45%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -59%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +78%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$4 -51%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -27%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2181 history records