Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7292…d0ea
sports · 385 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$486 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$469 · open +$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,293
Realized+$469
Unrealized+$11
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses247 / 115
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$177
Open positions23
Markets (closed)362 / 385
History coverage154d
Avg bet$68
Trades / day16.4
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 23 History 362 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$7
14 days−$758
30 days−$152
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $243 $246 +$3 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $145 $148 +$3 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? No 96¢ 99¢ $129 $133 +$4 (+3%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $117 $118 +$1 (+1%)
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 99¢ 96¢ $121 $118 −$3 (-3%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No 95¢ 93¢ $94 $92 −$2 (-2%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $89 $90 +$0 (+1%)
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 93¢ 93¢ $69 $69 −$0 (-0%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? No 99¢ 100¢ $54 $54 +$0 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No 93¢ 96¢ $49 $51 +$1 (+3%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June? No 98¢ 99¢ $36 $36 +$0 (+1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No 92¢ 92¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 99¢ 99¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No 97¢ 96¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? No 98¢ 97¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June? No 78¢ 99¢ $5 $7 +$1 (+26%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 72¢ 80¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No 89¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $210 in June? No 74¢ 95¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+28%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,400 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 98¢ 99¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 95¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June? Jun 08 $7 $0 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $114 −$7 -6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $335 +$77 +23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $234 −$12 -5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $306 +$76 +25%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $838 −$473 -56%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $255 +$38 +15%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $100 −$99 -99%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $735 −$383 -52%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $282 +$12 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $53 +$7 +12%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 30 $369 +$3 +1%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May? May 30 $95 +$4 +5%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May? May 30 $94 +$3 +4%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in May? May 30 $97 +$2 +2%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May? May 30 $11 +$2 +21%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $243 +$34 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 29 $248 −$3 -1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $383 +$81 +21%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 29 $143 +$1 +1%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $127 +$5 +4%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $222 +$144 +65%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $239 +$4 +2%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $529 +$132 +25%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $483 +$27 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $212 −$212 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 27 $163 +$10 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 27 $749 +$164 +22%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $1,031 −$109 -11%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $9 +$1 +11%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $8 +$1 +11%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $52 −$48 -92%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $4 +$4 +99%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 24 $458 −$342 -75%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner May 23 $535 +$257 +48%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 23 $22 +$5 +22%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $436 +$162 +37%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 22 $251 +$50 +20%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 21 $285 +$11 +4%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 21 $270 −$203 -75%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 21 $350 −$208 -60%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 21 $409 +$125 +31%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner May 21 $398 $0 -0%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 21 $57 +$8 +13%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner May 20 $40 −$40 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $163 +$90 +55%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 20 $75 −$12 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$539
crypto 10% −$18
other 4% −$34
tech 1% +$3
finance 1% +$4
politics 1% −$2
world 0% +$9
weather 0% +$5
culture 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 8m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $22 17m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $19 18m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $4 20m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $2 26m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $2 27m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 32m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $22 33m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $4 34m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $2 34m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $21 34m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $15 37m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 38m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 39m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 44m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $14 47m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $1 47m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $19 47m
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $6 48m
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $1 48m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $1 51m
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $3 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $2 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? SELL No 99¢ $3 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? SELL No 99¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -39.8% -45.6% 50% 25% -48.4%
≤30d 71 -3.1% -12.3% 69% 39% -10.3%
≤90d 129 +3.6% -6.3% 77% 44% -7.5%
all 362 +0.2% -9.4% 68% 44% -7.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 44% -7.8%
10% -18.0% 26% -16.6%
15% -26.0% 16% -24.7%
20% -33.2% 8% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,293.49 · official $1,293.48 (match) · 2874 history records