Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:34:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x7291…3752 crypto 1376 markets active 6d ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d only
✗ bot/MM pace (92 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$192 (-2%) realized −$192 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate64%963W / 540L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day91.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$582
7 days−$1,297
14 days−$1,563
30 days−$1,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,145
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (92 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 -49.9% -54.6% 12% 12% -66.8%
≤30d 1331 -12.2% -20.5% 62% 41% -24.6%
≤90d 1503 -10.9% -19.4% 64% 44% -23.2%
all 1503 -10.9% -19.4% 64% 44% -23.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover91.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 44% -23.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 30% -30.6%
15% -34.2% 18% -37.3%
20% -40.6% 10% -43.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -23% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -23% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$6 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.43 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$192
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses963 / 540
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1503 / 1376
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day91.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1503 Trades
no open positions (423 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -1223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$4 -2815%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +2670%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -2406%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records