trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -33.9% | -40.2% | 50% | 50% | -13.6% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -33.9% | -40.2% | 50% | 50% | -13.6% |
| all | 67 | +17.2% | +6.0% | 54% | 51% | -0.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +6.0% | 51% | -0.5% |
| 10% | -4.1% | 45% | -10.1% |
| 15% | -13.4% | 31% | -18.7% |
| 20% | -21.9% | 25% | -26.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | No | 78¢ | 78¢ | $47 | $46 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $38 | $38 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $12 | $12 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | No | 31¢ | 30¢ | $11 | $11 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $38 | +$12 | +32% |
| Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | May 23 | $15 | −$14 | -98% |
| Suns vs. Raptors | Mar 13 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk end in a draw? | Mar 13 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss | Mar 13 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Jan 10 | $32 | +$20 | +61% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Dec 20 | $15 | +$45 | +300% |
| Kings vs. Thunder | Oct 29 | $39 | +$11 | +28% |
| Athletics vs. Red Sox | Sep 19 | $42 | +$58 | +138% |
| Will Elon tweet 215–229 times August 8–August 15? | Sep 18 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Jaguars | Aug 11 | $13 | +$24 | +186% |
| Nationals vs. Cardinals | Jul 11 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Padres vs. Brewers | Jun 09 | $15 | +$24 | +163% |
| Oilers vs. Golden Knights | May 09 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Devils | May 08 | $31 | −$31 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Bucks | Apr 11 | $90 | +$10 | +11% |
| Will Nottingham Forest vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | Apr 02 | $29 | −$23 | -78% |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Apr 01 | $33 | −$1 | -3% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Knicks | Apr 01 | $76 | +$24 | +32% |
| Kentucky vs. Tennessee | Mar 30 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Red Wings vs. Avalanche | Mar 28 | $37 | +$14 | +37% |
| Grand Canyon vs. Maryland | Mar 25 | $83 | +$17 | +20% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | Mar 21 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 18 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Blue Jackets | Mar 16 | $23 | +$15 | +64% |
| Will Barcelona vs. Benfica end in a draw? | Mar 13 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Mar 11 | $49 | +$17 | +35% |
| Will AZ Alkmaar vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Mar 09 | $75 | +$25 | +33% |
| Jets vs. Islanders | Mar 06 | $20 | +$34 | +170% |
| Blues vs. Stars | Mar 04 | $37 | +$17 | +47% |
| Pacers vs. Heat | Mar 02 | $58 | +$92 | +156% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | Feb 28 | $30 | +$56 | +186% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | Feb 25 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks | Feb 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | Feb 24 | $38 | +$13 | +33% |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets | Feb 23 | $72 | −$72 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Jazz | Feb 23 | $22 | +$63 | +285% |
| Oilers vs. Flyers | Feb 23 | $36 | +$64 | +178% |
| Lakers vs. Trail Blazers | Feb 22 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Mavericks | Feb 22 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Feb 22 | $23 | +$15 | +64% |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | Feb 22 | $102 | +$10 | +10% |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Feb 21 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Feb 21 | $45 | +$16 | +35% |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19? | Feb 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Aston Villa vs. Liverpool end in a draw? | Feb 20 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Lakers | Feb 20 | $12 | +$68 | +567% |
| Will Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw? | Feb 19 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will Benfica win on 2025-02-18? | Feb 19 | $18 | +$19 | +104% |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-02-18? | Feb 19 | $26 | +$64 | +245% |