Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T02:05:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x728c…2893 crypto 1728 markets active 2h ago coverage 54d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 54d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$694 (+0%) realized +$694 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate93%1612W / 115L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$100per market
Trades / day33.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 54d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$2,625
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -1.3% -10.7% 98% 0% -11.0%
≤30d 649 -1.7% -11.0% 93% 3% -13.1%
≤90d 1727 +1.4% -8.2% 93% 8% -10.9%
all 1727 +1.4% -8.2% 93% 8% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover33.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 8% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 3% -19.4%
15% -25.0% 2% -27.2%
20% -32.4% 2% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$89 · ×0.05 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.74 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

54d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$694
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1612 / 115
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1727 / 1728
History coverage54d ⚠
Avg bet$100
Trades / day33.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1727 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 22 $17 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 21 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 21 $64 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 19 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 18 $61 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $29 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $45 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $37 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $34 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $78 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $61 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $64 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $61 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $45 4d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records