Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x727d…1dbc
crypto · 669 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,487 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,487 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$6,487
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses471 / 601
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1072 / 669
History coverage27d
Avg bet$45
Trades / day89.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1072 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,472
7 days−$6,472
14 days−$6,538
30 days−$6,487
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$5 -238%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$29 -146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2394%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$4 -316%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-41.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 570 -73.5% -76.1% 16% 16% -79.0%
≤30d 1072 -34.9% -41.1% 44% 30% -25.1%
≤90d 1072 -34.9% -41.1% 44% 30% -25.1%
all 1072 -34.9% -41.1% 44% 30% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.1% 30% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -46.7% 25% -32.2%
15% -51.9% 18% -38.8%
20% -56.6% 9% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.81 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records