Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x727b…93f5
crypto · 446 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$161 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$790 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized−$790
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses265 / 370
Open positions2
Markets (closed)635 / 446
History coverage4d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day816.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 635 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,222
7 days−$790
14 days−$790
30 days−$790
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Down 46¢ 38¢ $25 $21 −$5 (-18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Up 67¢ 84¢ $10 $13 +$2 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Up 69¢ 62¢ $14 $12 −$1 (-10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Down 56¢ 16¢ $14 $4 −$10 (-71%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 3PM ET? Yes 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum above 1,630 on June 11, 2PM ET? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 7PM ET? Yes 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 10AM ET? No 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+348%)
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 6PM ET? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 9PM ET? No 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum above 1,580 on June 7, 1AM ET? Yes 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 12PM ET? No 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+144%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 7, 10PM ET? Yes 20¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+400%)
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 9AM ET? Yes 21¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+376%)
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 6, 3AM ET? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 12, 9PM ET? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 7, 12PM ET? No 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 7PM ET? No 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 12, 3AM ET? No 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 11, 10AM ET? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 12PM ET? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 9, 6PM ET? No 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 13, 1PM ET? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 3PM ET? Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 7, 7PM ET? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum above 1,600 on June 7, 6PM ET? Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum above 1,580 on June 7, 1AM ET? Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 12PM ET? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 7, 10PM ET? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,600 on June 6, 3AM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 12PM ET? Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 9, 6PM ET? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 7, 5PM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 10AM ET? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 9, 10PM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 4AM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,690 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,200 on June 9, 2PM ET? Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,800 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,610 on June 7, 9AM ET? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 7, 7PM ET? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 9, 12PM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 7, 10PM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,200 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 3PM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 12AM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 10, 1AM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 7, 12PM ET? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum above 1,620 on June 9, 11AM ET? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 2PM ET? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 8, 11AM ET? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 8, 9AM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 7, 4AM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 2PM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 8, 8PM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 9, 10PM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 8, 6AM ET? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 9AM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 9, 12PM ET? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum above 1,660 on June 9, 7AM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,590 on June 7, 4PM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 62,400 on June 9, 7AM ET? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11AM ET Jun 14 $123 −$123 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$259
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-39.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 635 -32.8% -39.2% 42% 27% -13.0%
≤30d 635 -32.8% -39.2% 42% 27% -13.0%
≤90d 635 -32.8% -39.2% 42% 27% -13.0%
all 635 -32.8% -39.2% 42% 27% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover816.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.2% 27% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -45.0% 18% -21.3%
15% -50.3% 11% -28.9%
20% -55.2% 6% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.53 · official $40.67 · 3500 history records