Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:53:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x726f…d8e7
crypto · 147 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$18,018 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$20,211 · open −$2,256
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56,417
Realized+$20,211
Unrealized−$2,256
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses92 / 16
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions51
Markets (closed)108 / 147
History coverage5d
Avg bet$1,433
Trades / day714.6
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 51 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$537
7 days+$20,211
14 days+$20,211
30 days+$20,211
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 79¢ 90¢ $3,785 $4,300 +$515 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Yes 89¢ 88¢ $3,459 $3,393 −$66 (-2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 80¢ 91¢ $2,837 $3,248 +$411 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 65¢ 85¢ $2,060 $2,678 +$618 (+30%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 89¢ 94¢ $2,371 $2,513 +$142 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 93¢ 98¢ $2,220 $2,337 +$116 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Yes 92¢ 97¢ $2,163 $2,287 +$124 (+6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 82¢ 98¢ $1,785 $2,142 +$356 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Up 90¢ 84¢ $2,285 $2,114 −$171 (-7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? No 89¢ 98¢ $1,784 $1,974 +$190 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 90¢ 100¢ $1,557 $1,718 +$161 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 53¢ 74¢ $1,203 $1,696 +$494 (+41%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? No 93¢ 99¢ $1,482 $1,586 +$104 (+7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 48¢ 69¢ $1,074 $1,564 +$490 (+46%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 89¢ 94¢ $1,388 $1,453 +$65 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 94¢ 100¢ $1,356 $1,433 +$77 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? No 97¢ 98¢ $1,403 $1,408 +$5 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 82¢ 93¢ $964 $1,085 +$122 (+13%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 99¢ $1,055 $1,061 +$6 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 70¢ 88¢ $809 $1,022 +$213 (+26%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? No 77¢ 88¢ $807 $922 +$115 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 39¢ 44¢ $794 $905 +$110 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? No 98¢ 100¢ $890 $902 +$12 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 100¢ $833 $847 +$14 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? No 48¢ 56¢ $713 $833 +$120 (+17%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7? Jun 12 $4 +$204 +5129%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? Jun 12 $134 +$228 +170%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $958 +$87 +9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $232 +$4 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $436 +$14 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,355 +$51 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $937 +$257 +27%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $326 +$8 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,207 +$85 +7%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $148 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6,200 +$595 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $47 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $6,434 −$218 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $266 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5,654 −$355 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,268 +$101 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,157 +$18 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,254 +$54 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,598 +$250 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $70 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $418 +$12 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $973 +$50 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $421 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $4,307 −$150 -4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $148 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $667 +$13 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,141 +$129 +11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $669 +$33 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $289 +$11 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,241 +$296 +24%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,091 +$259 +24%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $314 +$6 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $410 +$11 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $147 +$3 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,192 −$33 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,298 −$233 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $4,407 +$90 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2,402 +$100 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $870 +$10 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $423 +$7 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,318 +$832 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,052 +$35 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,663 +$72 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $9,025 −$1,698 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $8,134 −$1,155 -14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$17,531
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 93¢ $11 0m
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $146 2m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $497 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $77 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $36 4m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $15 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $34 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $16 5m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $21 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 93¢ $27 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $90 7m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $44 7m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 92¢ $805 7m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $9 7m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 91¢ $796 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $62 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $61 8m
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY No 90¢ $3 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $44 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $447 9m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $122 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $37 10m
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY No 90¢ $12 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $111 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $153 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $90 10m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $490 10m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)+66.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 +84.0% +66.4% 85% 30% -2.1%
≤30d 108 +84.0% +66.4% 85% 30% -2.1%
≤90d 108 +84.0% +66.4% 85% 30% -2.1%
all 108 +84.0% +66.4% 85% 30% -2.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover714.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +66.4% 30% -2.1%
10% +50.5% 21% -11.5%
15% ← realistic here +36.0% 13% -20.0%
20% +22.6% 10% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56,417.43 · official $56,399.19 (match) · 3500 history records