Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x725d…eaf3
crypto · 545 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$188 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$188 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$16
Realized−$188
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses308 / 236
Open positions1
Markets (closed)544 / 545
History coverage17d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day42.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 544 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$121
7 days−$149
14 days−$161
30 days−$188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 60¢ 60¢ $15 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 64¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 59¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 66¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 77¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 60¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 62¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 55¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 51¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 66¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 75¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 69¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 54¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 74¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 60¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$5 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$11 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$16 +104%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +37%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$188
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $16 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $16 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $6 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 332 -3.5% -12.7% 58% 58% -15.6%
≤30d 544 -6.1% -15.0% 57% 56% -16.3%
≤90d 544 -6.1% -15.0% 57% 56% -16.3%
all 544 -6.1% -15.0% 57% 56% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 56% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 56% -24.3%
15% -30.6% 51% -31.6%
20% -37.4% 43% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.63 · official $14.60 · 1013 history records