Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:46:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x724c…1521
sports · 1298 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16,659 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,664 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$16,664
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses936 / 357
Whale WR (big bets)83%
Est. fees paid−$1,126
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1293 / 1298
History coverage73d
Avg bet$397
Trades / day37.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 5 History 1293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days+$6
14 days+$6
30 days−$662
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 77¢ 100¢ $20 $26 +$6 (+30%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 79¢ 76¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 65¢ 66¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 60¢ 60¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $50 +$4 +8%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$13 +129%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $500 +$11 +2%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $501 +$47 +9%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 −$1 -3%
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $30 −$1 -3%
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $50 −$2 -5%
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $51 −$2 -4%
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $151 −$5 -3%
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $151 −$3 -2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $100 +$15 +14%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $40 −$30 -75%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $130 +$7 +6%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $40 +$12 +31%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $80 +$25 +31%
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Boogaard (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $100 −$64 -64%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $50 +$2 +4%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $131 +$34 +26%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $301 +$20 +7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$8 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $210 +$8 +4%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$3 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $20 +$14 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $701 +$40 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $50 +$9 +18%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $101 −$101 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $645 +$117 +18%
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) Jun 11 $140 +$10 +7%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $80 +$3 +4%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $301 +$22 +7%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $10 −$5 -50%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $101 −$15 -15%
Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 11 $69 −$44 -65%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 +$3 +31%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $10 +$6 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% −$18,498
other 6% +$950
world 0% −$17
politics 0% +$857
weather 0% +$25
crypto 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 79¢ $20 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 90¢ $20 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 89¢ $10 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 60¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 65¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 77¢ $10 2h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 90¢ $20 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 97¢ $10 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 97¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 43¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $10 4h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $200 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 98¢ $300 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 98¢ $200 6h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $301 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 46¢ $19 15h
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 71¢ $29 15h
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 62¢ $29 15h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 66¢ $48 15h
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 65¢ $49 15h
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 70¢ $50 15h
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 71¢ $147 15h
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 78¢ $148 15h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 96¢ $100 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 90¢ $30 23h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 88¢ $20 24h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL G2 41¢ $10 24h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $105 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -3.2% -12.4% 74% 36% -9.5%
≤30d 532 -3.1% -12.3% 76% 30% -11.4%
≤90d 1293 -2.9% -12.1% 72% 40% -12.5%
all 1293 -2.9% -12.1% 72% 40% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 40% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 23% -20.8%
15% -28.2% 13% -28.5%
20% -35.3% 7% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.22 · official $75.22 (match) · 3500 history records