Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7248…8cb4
other · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,649 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,825 · open +$735
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12,696
Realized−$9,825
Unrealized+$735
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses8 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions26
Markets (closed)71 / 26
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2,162
Trades / day1201.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit35%
Chart Positions 26 History 71 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,825
7 days−$9,825
14 days−$9,825
30 days−$9,825
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 49¢ 45¢ $2,955 $2,731 −$223 (-8%)
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No 32¢ 48¢ $1,379 $2,031 +$652 (+47%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,147 $1,291 +$144 (+13%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1,100 $1,150 +$50 (+5%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 93¢ 94¢ $934 $939 +$5 (+1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $870 $875 +$5 (+1%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $770 $752 −$18 (-2%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $555 $575 +$20 (+4%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $471 $474 +$2 (+0%)
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No 56¢ 70¢ $376 $469 +$92 (+25%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $311 $321 +$10 (+3%)
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 81¢ 86¢ $301 $318 +$17 (+6%)
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 85¢ 82¢ $254 $248 −$6 (-2%)
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? No 67¢ 80¢ $95 $113 +$18 (+19%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Ilbirs eSports 62¢ 46¢ $124 $93 −$31 (-25%)
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 88¢ 82¢ $96 $90 −$6 (-7%)
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026? No 98¢ 98¢ $80 $80 +$0 (+0%)
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No 66¢ 66¢ $73 $73 +$1 (+1%)
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? No 58¢ 98¢ $13 $23 +$9 (+68%)
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? No 71¢ 73¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+3%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 18¢ 15¢ $12 $10 −$2 (-15%)
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No 84¢ 84¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+15%)
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes 35¢ 64¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+84%)
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? No 87¢ 93¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Pl Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $190 −$190 -100%
Valorant: KPI Gaming vs HGE Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Jun 12 $187 −$187 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Gr Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season Jun 12 $224 −$224 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $280 −$280 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $156 −$156 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Jun 12 $258 −$258 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoff Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $159 −$159 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects (BO3) - 1win Essence Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Ch Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Valorant: Misa Esports vs FUT Academy (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Play Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - TCL Regular Season Jun 12 $372 −$372 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 12 $691 −$691 -100%
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou Jun 12 $266 −$266 -100%
Valorant: Ghools Esports vs BAAM Esports (BO5) - VCL MENA: Resilience Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seaso Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $152 −$152 -100%
Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
LoL: Forsaken vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season Jun 12 $30 −$31 -103%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q Jun 12 $93 −$93 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Jun 12 $166 −$166 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $2,530 −$2,530 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha Jun 12 $219 −$219 -100%
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Barça eSports GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changer Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Jun 12 $105 −$100 -95%
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Grou Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season Jun 12 $257 −$257 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $1,200 −$1,200 -100%
Valorant: MIR vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifi Jun 12 $9 −$47 -537%
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 12 $136 −$136 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 90% +$5,153
tech 8% +$429
sports 2% −$909
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $20 0m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $125 0m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 3m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 7m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $50 7m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 9m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 11m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $126 11m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 13m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 14m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 14m
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $48 15m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 16m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 16m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 18m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 18m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 18m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 18m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 19m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 21m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 21m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 23m
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-56.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -51.4% -56.0% 11% 10% -39.0%
≤30d 71 -51.4% -56.0% 11% 10% -39.0%
≤90d 71 -51.4% -56.0% 11% 10% -39.0%
all 71 -51.4% -56.0% 11% 10% -39.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1201.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.0% 10% -39.0%
10% ← realistic here -60.2% 6% -44.8%
15% -64.1% 6% -50.2%
20% -67.6% 6% -55.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12,696.06 · official $12,696.06 (match) · 3500 history records