Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T05:28:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x7246…cb21 crypto 1337 markets active 0h ago coverage 48d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 47d only
✗ bot/MM pace (65 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$38 (+1%) realized +$38 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate58%782W / 555L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day64.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$23
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (65 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -4.7% -13.7% 45% 5% -13.8%
≤30d 426 -2.8% -12.0% 52% 18% -11.2%
≤90d 1337 -1.9% -11.2% 58% 30% -13.3%
all 1337 -1.9% -11.2% 58% 30% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 30% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 4% -21.6%
15% -27.5% 1% -29.2%
20% -34.6% 1% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 37% · top 2 38% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses782 / 555
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1337 / 1337
History coverage48d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day64.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1337 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records