Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T07:34:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
72 0x7244…a345 crypto 580 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$84 (+1%) realized +$84 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR20%break-even
Win rate90%520W / 60L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day22.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$96
7 days+$26
14 days+$26
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 577 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 20% -9.3%
≤30d 577 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 20% -9.3%
≤90d 580 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 20% -9.3%
all 580 +0.7% -8.9% 90% 20% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 20% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 11% -18.0%
15% -25.6% 9% -25.9%
20% -32.9% 8% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$84
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses520 / 60
Open positions0
Markets (closed)580 / 580
History coverage41d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day22.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 580 Trades
no open positions (39 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 27 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 27 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 27 $36 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 27 $38 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $38 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $37 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $38 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $37 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 27 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 27 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 27 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 27 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 27 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 27 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 26 $12 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 26 $12 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 26 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 26 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 26 $240 +$8 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 26 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 26 $24 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 26 $24 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $414 +$41 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $202 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 26 $115 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 26 $46 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $37 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $37 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $37 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $37 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $38 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $37 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $35 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $12 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $12 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1451 history records