Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:10:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7243…83f0
other · 364 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$4,039 +38%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$55 · open +$73
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$2,358
Realized+$55
Unrealized+$73
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses211 / 39
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions157
Markets (closed)250 / 364
History coverage24d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day138.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit23%
Chart Positions 157 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$182
14 days+$163
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? Yes 12¢ $36 $186 +$150 (+411%)
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 86¢ 95¢ $132 $145 +$13 (+10%)
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 96¢ 96¢ $96 $96 +$0 (+1%)
Will the fight be won by submission? No 77¢ 80¢ $77 $80 +$3 (+5%)
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 91¢ 89¢ $81 $79 −$2 (-2%)
Will the fight be won by submission? No 67¢ 90¢ $58 $77 +$19 (+34%)
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 92¢ $72 $74 +$2 (+3%)
Will Franco Colapinto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 97¢ 87¢ $78 $70 −$8 (-10%)
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 97¢ 87¢ $78 $70 −$8 (-10%)
Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 97¢ 90¢ $73 $67 −$6 (-8%)
Maximilian Beier: 3+ goals No 99¢ 92¢ $73 $67 −$5 (-8%)
Leon Goretzka: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $64 $64 −$1 (-1%)
Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals No 99¢ 98¢ $64 $63 −$1 (-1%)
Will Czechia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 93¢ 98¢ $59 $62 +$3 (+6%)
Will Valtteri Bottas achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 98¢ 88¢ $61 $54 −$7 (-11%)
Will Sweden be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? No 97¢ 99¢ $48 $50 +$1 (+2%)
Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? No 94¢ 94¢ $46 $46 −$0 (-0%)
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 98¢ 88¢ $49 $44 −$5 (-11%)
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? No 94¢ 87¢ $46 $43 −$4 (-8%)
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? No 94¢ 87¢ $46 $42 −$4 (-8%)
Will Saudi Arabia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 97¢ 97¢ $42 $42 −$0 (-0%)
Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? No 94¢ 87¢ $45 $42 −$4 (-8%)
Will Valtteri Bottas achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 96¢ 88¢ $46 $42 −$4 (-8%)
Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix? No 94¢ 87¢ $41 $38 −$3 (-8%)
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? No 97¢ 89¢ $41 $37 −$3 (-8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the No. 43 Inter Europol Competition win the LMP2 class at the 20 Jun 14 $123 +$14 +11%
Will the No. 7 Toyota Racing win the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans? Jun 14 $74 +$6 +8%
Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? Jun 14 $75 +$1 +2%
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 14 $4 −$2 -64%
Lyndon Dykes: 5+ shots Jun 14 $19 $0 +2%
George Hirst: 3+ goals Jun 14 $64 +$1 +1%
George Hirst: 5+ shots Jun 14 $12 $0 +3%
Scott McKenna: 2+ assists Jun 14 $74 −$5 -7%
Soufiane Rahimi: 5+ shots Jun 14 $16 $0 +2%
Rayan: 5+ shots Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Will Tunisia be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? Jun 13 $74 +$1 +2%
Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals Jun 13 $19 $0 +2%
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 Jun 13 $14 $0 +2%
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? Jun 13 $162 +$12 +7%
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $0 +$1 +250%
Boxing: Tommy Fury vs. Eddie Hall Jun 13 $55 +$18 +33%
Will Endrick win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +76%
Haji Wright: 3+ goals Jun 13 $57 +$1 +1%
Will Aaron Rai finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? Jun 13 $32 +$1 +2%
Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 12 $1 +$3 +227%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ shots Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Alphonso Davies: 1+ goals Jun 12 $314 +$8 +3%
Jonathan David: 2+ goals Jun 12 $192 +$8 +4%
Samed Baždar: 3+ goals Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Jacob Shaffelburg: 3+ goals Jun 12 $150 +$2 +1%
Will Casper Ruud be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +966%
Will Alexander Albon achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 Jun 12 $49 +$1 +2%
Will Sergio Perez achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will Valtteri Bottas achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will Lance Stroll achieve the fastest lap in Practice 2 at the 2026 F1 Jun 12 $50 $0 +1%
Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 12 $60 +$1 +1%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Will Sergio Perez achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 F1 Jun 12 $109 +$1 +1%
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 12 $73 +$2 +3%
Will Nico Hulkenberg achieve the fastest lap in Practice 1 at the 2026 Jun 12 $44 $0 +1%
Will Sonay Kartal be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +242%
Denis Višinský: 3+ goals Jun 12 $74 +$1 +2%
Luis Chávez: 5+ shots Jun 12 $24 +$1 +4%
César Huerta: 5+ shots Jun 11 $98 +$2 +2%
Guillermo Martínez: 5+ shots Jun 11 $24 +$1 +4%
Gilberto Mora: 3+ goals Jun 11 $32 +$1 +3%
Roberto Alvarado: 3+ goals Jun 11 $32 +$1 +3%
Brian Gutiérrez: 3+ goals Jun 11 $40 +$2 +5%
César Huerta: 3+ goals Jun 11 $85 +$2 +2%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $9 +$2 +23%
World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? Jun 11 $94 +$3 +3%
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed? Jun 09 $44 +$2 +4%
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $47 +$8 +18%
Will Solana Sierra be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 09 $0 +$3 +824%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 88% +$12
world 6% +$55
politics 3% +$1
crypto 2% +$17
sports 2% +$46
culture 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Wout Weghorst: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $64 1h
Teun Koopmeiners: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $13 1h
Noa Lang: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $15 1h
Sontje Hansen: 2+ assists BUY No 98¢ $21 1h
Kenji Gorré: 2+ assists BUY No 98¢ $9 1h
Jearl Margaritha: 2+ assists BUY No 98¢ $28 1h
Brandley Kuwas: 2+ assists BUY No 98¢ $19 1h
Maximilian Beier: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $73 1h
Leon Goretzka: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $64 1h
Assan Ouedraogo: 3+ goals BUY No 99¢ $50 2h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 2h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 2h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 2h
Will the No. 43 Inter Europol Competition win the LMP2 class at the 20 SELL Yes 99¢ $137 2h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 2h
Will the No. 7 Toyota Racing win the 2026 24 Hours of Le Mans? SELL Yes 100¢ $80 2h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 2h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 2h
Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $23 2h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 3h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 3h
Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $24 3h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 3h
Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $24 3h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 3h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 3h
Will Japan be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $5 3h
Will the No. 43 Inter Europol Competition win the LMP2 class at the 20 BUY Yes 89¢ $123 3h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 3h
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL Yes $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+105.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +43.4% +29.8% 96% 23% -5.4%
≤30d 250 +127.6% +105.9% 84% 36% -9.3%
≤90d 250 +127.6% +105.9% 84% 36% -9.3%
all 250 +127.6% +105.9% 84% 36% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +105.9% 36% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here +86.2% 32% -17.9%
15% +68.2% 29% -25.9%
20% +51.7% 28% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,357.77 · official $2,368.96 (match) · 3500 history records