Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:40:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x723f…4a78
other · 3 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$103 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open −$97
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$303
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$97
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$203
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $300 $303 +$3 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $101 −$2 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% −$97
sports 17% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $152 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 66¢ $99 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $152 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $94 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 66¢ $101 9h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $102 9h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $101 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -2.0% -11.4% 0% 0% -11.4%
≤30d 1 -2.0% -11.4% 0% 0% -11.4%
≤90d 1 -2.0% -11.4% 0% 0% -11.4%
all 1 -2.0% -11.4% 0% 0% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 0% -11.4%
10% -19.8% 0% -19.8%
15% -27.6% 0% -27.6%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $303.36 · official $303.36 (match) · 7 history records