Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T05:00:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5

score

72 0x723d…c208 other 4 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d

RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable! high turnover

Total PnL +$66 (+42%) realized +$66 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +50% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt +25% what you keep after slip

Net edge+25%after slip

Net WR75%break-even

Win rate100%4W / 0L

Drawdown0%max

Avg bet$40per market

Trades / day10.0pace

Kalshi-fit0%portable

Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL

Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +75%

net ROI/market (all)+35.4%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	4	+49.6%	+35.4%	100%	75%	+40.7%
≤30d	4	+49.6%	+35.4%	100%	75%	+40.7%
≤90d	4	+49.6%	+35.4%	100%	75%	+40.7%
all	4	+49.6%	+35.4%	100%	75%	+40.7%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover10.0 tr/day

realistic slip~9%

edge survives to15%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+35.4%	75%	+40.7%
10%	+22.4%	75%	+27.3%
15%	+10.6%	25%	+15.0%
20%	-0.2%	25%	+3.7%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 67% · top 2 87% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +56% too few recent

Fragile wins

25% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +50% · $-wt +56% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

+$22 vs — no data

Profit factor

— no data

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage

Net worth$0

Realized+$66

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)100%

Wins / losses4 / 0

Open positions0

Markets (closed)4 / 4

History coverage1d

Avg bet$40

Trades / day10.0

Drawdown0%

Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 0 History 4 Trades

no open positions

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Jun 23	$68	+$17	+26%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Jun 23	$41	+$59	+146%
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Jun 22	$5	$0	+2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Jun 22	$46	+$11	+25%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	SELL Yes	85¢	$85	16m
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	BUY Yes	67¢	$68	1h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	BUY Yes	40¢	$41	5h
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	SELL Yes	94¢	$5	5h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	SELL Yes	81¢	$10	11h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	SELL Yes	85¢	$47	11h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY Yes	61¢	$8	11h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY Yes	68¢	$34	12h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	BUY Yes	68¢	$3	12h
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	BUY Yes	91¢	$5	12h

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 11 history records