Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:52:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7214…fea5
other · 50 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$7 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses19 / 28
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions3
Markets (closed)47 / 50
History coverage66d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 3 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$28
14 days+$2
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 38¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-7%)
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Heroic 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Nuggets 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-22? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 66¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 +$4 +44%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $4 +$2 +55%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$3 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd Jun 09 $10 +$23 +231%
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 06 $6 +$5 +79%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 05 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$2 +97%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $2 +$3 +124%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $4 +$2 +48%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $8 −$8 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 04 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $4 −$4 -99%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? May 15 $8 −$8 -98%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights May 13 $5 +$3 +67%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? May 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $30 −$29 -99%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $10 −$10 -99%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic May 04 $10 +$4 +46%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Apr 30 $2 +$4 +226%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27? Apr 28 $33 +$32 +97%
Knicks vs. Hawks Apr 27 $10 +$9 +93%
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers Apr 27 $10 +$5 +52%
Lakers vs. Rockets Apr 23 $10 −$9 -98%
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Apr 23 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 23 $15 −$14 -98%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23? Apr 22 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $3 −$3 -98%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-21? Apr 22 $19 +$4 +22%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-21? Apr 21 $2 −$2 -98%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21? Apr 21 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 20 $19 +$17 +90%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 13 $10 +$29 +300%
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $10 +$14 +146%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? Apr 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Thunder vs. Lakers Apr 08 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 74% −$8
sports 26% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 6h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 22h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $9 30h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 38¢ $2 45h
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 64¢ $4 2d
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner BUY Global Esports 55¢ $3 3d
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 50¢ $3 3d
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workd BUY Yes 30¢ $10 6d
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks BUY Dallas Wings 55¢ $3 6d
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks BUY Dallas Wings 55¢ $3 6d
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire BUY PortlandFire 57¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner BUY GamerLegion 50¢ $3 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner BUY Heroic 56¢ $3 7d
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 8d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 8d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 8d
Will France win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 77¢ $4 8d
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $2 8d
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 67¢ $4 9d
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 42¢ $3 9d
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 47¢ $3 9d
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 63¢ $4 9d
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 10d
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? BUY Yes 49¢ $8 28d
Ducks vs. Golden Knights BUY Golden Knights 59¢ $5 31d
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? BUY Yes 61¢ $5 31d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 66¢ $20 38d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 39d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +22.9% +11.2% 60% 60% +48.3%
≤30d 20 -31.2% -37.7% 35% 35% -15.4%
≤90d 47 -19.5% -27.1% 40% 38% -11.2%
all 47 -19.5% -27.1% 40% 38% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.1% 38% -11.2%
10% -34.1% 36% -19.7%
15% -40.5% 36% -27.5%
20% -46.3% 30% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.01 · official $13.02 (match) · 77 history records