trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +15.4% | +4.4% | 100% | 100% | +4.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +17.0% | +5.9% | 100% | 67% | +3.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -9.6% | -18.2% | 78% | 44% | -12.0% |
| all | 11 | -18.4% | -26.2% | 64% | 36% | -16.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -26.2% | 36% | -16.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -33.2% | 18% | -24.1% |
| 15% | -39.7% | 0% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -45.6% | 0% | -38.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 81¢ | 95¢ | $591 | $696 | +$105 (+18%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | 53¢ | 50¢ | $418 | $394 | −$25 (-6%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 24 | $2,615 | +$402 | +15% |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | Jun 14 | $6,045 | +$211 | +4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $3,468 | +$1,116 | +32% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 19 | $1,000 | +$250 | +25% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | May 03 | $3,500 | −$3,500 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 03 | $6,595 | +$597 | +9% |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Apr 22 | $1,167 | +$228 | +20% |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parl | Apr 21 | $1,095 | +$70 | +6% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 21 | $70 | −$68 | -98% |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour? | Nov 25 | $1,000 | −$471 | -47% |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | Nov 25 | $1,248 | −$859 | -69% |