Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

72
0x7201…b40e
sports · 51 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$262 +25%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$259 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized+$259
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses24 / 25
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions2
Markets (closed)49 / 51
History coverage31d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown52%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$250
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 56¢ 44¢ $46 $36 −$10 (-22%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 24¢ 80¢ $8 $25 +$18 (+235%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 +$4 +52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8 −$4 -54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $42 +$24 +57%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $8 +$6 +76%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $8 +$14 +180%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $8 +$4 +48%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15 +$20 +134%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 −$10 -65%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 −$6 -42%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: May 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Fi May 23 $2 +$3 +158%
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner May 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europ May 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A May 22 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner May 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) May 22 $4 +$5 +152%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner May 20 $1 +$2 +196%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu May 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro Leag May 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group S May 18 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner May 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe May 18 $8 +$11 +140%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eur May 18 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner May 18 $6 +$3 +45%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Gro May 18 $18 +$17 +97%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner May 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: SHISHKA vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winner May 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Q May 17 $26 −$26 -100%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) May 17 $116 −$116 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs Team Falcons (+2.5) May 17 $30 +$103 +344%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) May 17 $89 +$97 +109%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 16 $41 +$48 +118%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) May 16 $101 +$55 +54%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) May 16 $71 +$91 +128%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner May 16 $19 +$15 +79%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner May 16 $61 +$48 +79%
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner May 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 14 $7 +$5 +79%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 14 $41 −$17 -40%
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Ser May 14 $14 +$1 +7%
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Blitzkrieg (BO3) - CCT South Americ May 13 $23 +$4 +16%
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Blitzkrieg - Map 2 Winner May 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR fe - Map 2 Winner May 12 $46 +$3 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$266
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 65¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 24¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 18¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 42¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 65¢ $8 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 30¢ $8 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Natus Vincere 18¢ $4 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $8 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $66 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $42 24h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 100¢ $13 24h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 57¢ $8 25h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $8 25h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S BUY G2 Ares 35¢ $8 44h
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY INOX Division 44¢ $8 47h
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Rune Eaters 99¢ $11 47h
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Rune Eaters 66¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 100¢ $35 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 34¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 56¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 12¢ $8 2d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY M80 12¢ $8 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL BIG 17¢ $9 3d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL M80 17¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 13¢ $8 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 28¢ $8 3d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 28¢ $8 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -8.0% -16.8% 43% 43% -2.7%
≤30d 46 +0.7% -8.9% 46% 43% +14.9%
≤90d 49 +1.6% -8.1% 49% 45% +13.9%
all 49 +1.6% -8.1% 49% 45% +13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.1% 45% +13.9%
10% -16.9% 41% +3.0%
15% -24.9% 41% -7.0%
20% -32.3% 37% -16.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.77 · official $60.77 (match) · 120 history records