Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71ff…d1af
crypto · 308 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$344 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$344 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$344
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses166 / 142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)308 / 308
History coverage23d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day29.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 308 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$16
14 days−$116
30 days−$344
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $28 −$17 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$9 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$16 +263%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$8 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $22 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$8 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $15 −$5 -30%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$2 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -89%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$5 -81%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +75%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 06 $7 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 06 $9 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 05 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 05 $36 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 05 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $13 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 05 $26 −$19 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $61 −$24 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$341
other 1% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $7 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $11 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $17 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $11 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $9 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $5 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +0.4% -9.1% 62% 48% -12.6%
≤30d 308 -3.4% -12.6% 54% 43% -16.6%
≤90d 308 -3.4% -12.6% 54% 43% -16.6%
all 308 -3.4% -12.6% 54% 43% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 43% -16.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 34% -24.6%
15% -28.6% 26% -31.9%
20% -35.6% 19% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 951 history records