Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71e9…b28f
sports · 10 markets active 1h ago
5.5score
+$54 +53%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized+$58
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)8 / 10
History coverage91d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 67¢ 72¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-74%)
Knicks vs. Hornets Knicks 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Thunder Bulls 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers Jazz 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $20 +$34 +165%
76ers vs. Celtics May 12 $7 +$50 +711%
Bulls vs. Thunder Mar 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Bulls Mar 26 $6 +$3 +45%
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Mar 26 $8 +$2 +30%
Knicks vs. Hornets Mar 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Knicks vs. Pacers Mar 15 $11 +$1 +12%
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers Mar 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$58
tech 16% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 67¢ $10 4d
Cavaliers vs. Pistons BUY Cavaliers 37¢ $20 27d
76ers vs. Celtics BUY 76ers 12¢ $7 52d
Bulls vs. Thunder BUY Bulls 6¢ $5 77d
Knicks vs. Hornets BUY Knicks 49¢ $20 78d
Grizzlies vs. Bulls BUY Bulls 69¢ $6 89d
Timberwolves vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 77¢ $8 89d
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers BUY Jazz 11¢ $7 91d
Knicks vs. Pacers BUY Knicks 89¢ $11 91d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+65.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +165.3% +140.0% 100% 100% +140.0%
≤90d 7 +109.1% +89.2% 71% 71% +66.4%
all 8 +83.0% +65.5% 62% 62% +51.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +65.5% 62% +51.9%
10% +49.7% 50% +37.3%
15% +35.2% 38% +24.1%
20% +22.0% 25% +11.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.37 · official $12.37 (match) · 17 history records