trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 16% | 16% | -60.4% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 16% | 16% | -60.4% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 16% | 16% | -60.4% |
| all | 25 | -63.5% | -67.0% | 16% | 16% | -60.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -67.0% | 16% | -60.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -70.2% | 16% | -64.2% |
| 15% | -73.0% | 16% | -67.7% |
| 20% | -75.7% | 16% | -70.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $17 | $18 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $6 | $7 | +$1 (+12%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 17 | $136 | −$130 | -96% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $23 | +$13 | +55% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $81 | +$84 | +103% |
| Théo Hernández: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | Jun 16 | $69 | −$66 | -95% |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$11 | +223% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | +$7 | +131% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Jun 14 | $27 | −$25 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Jun 14 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $17 | −$17 | -97% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |