Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:14:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71dd…4243
crypto · 38 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$114 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$159 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$159
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses21 / 17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$159
7 days+$159
14 days+$159
30 days+$159
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$24 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$11 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$29 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$21 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $44 +$10 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$16 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$28 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$13 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $29 +$26 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$8 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$15 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$24 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$18 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$18 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$46 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$34 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $25 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $25 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $15 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+5.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +17.1% +5.9% 55% 55% +8.6%
≤30d 38 +17.1% +5.9% 55% 55% +8.6%
≤90d 38 +17.1% +5.9% 55% 55% +8.6%
all 38 +17.1% +5.9% 55% 55% +8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.9% 55% +8.6%
10% ← realistic here -4.2% 53% -1.8%
15% -13.5% 50% -11.3%
20% -22.0% 47% -20.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 82 history records