trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $61 | −$51 | -83% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $34 | +$100 | +299% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $8 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $39 | −$38 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$27 | +88% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $29 | −$28 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11? | Jun 12 | $8 | +$15 | +191% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $23 | +$29 | +126% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $11 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $45 | −$44 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $11 | −$10 | -97% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 29% | 29% | -27.5% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 29% | 29% | -27.5% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 29% | 29% | -27.5% |
| all | 17 | -20.3% | -27.9% | 29% | 29% | -27.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -27.9% | 29% | -27.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -34.8% | 29% | -34.4% |
| 15% | -41.1% | 29% | -40.8% |
| 20% | -46.9% | 24% | -46.6% |