trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 57% | 43% | +1.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 70% | 40% | +0.8% |
| ≤90d | 40 | +2.1% | -7.7% | 70% | 48% | -9.3% |
| all | 158 | +4.2% | -5.7% | 70% | 50% | -6.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.7% | 50% | -6.2% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 40% | -15.2% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 30% | -23.4% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 21% | -30.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Morocco (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $58 | +$2 | +4% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $370 | +$230 | +62% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $135 | −$132 | -98% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $50 | +$15 | +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Jun 14 | $102 | −$41 | -41% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Jun 14 | $103 | $0 | -0% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Jun 14 | $49 | +$31 | +65% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 06 | $28 | +$2 | +7% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 25 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 25 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $4 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 14 | $4 | +$1 | +12% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | May 14 | $20 | +$4 | +21% |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Apr 17 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $12,210 | −$12 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $12,223 | −$12 | -0% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $12,235 | −$12 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $295 | $0 | +0% |
| Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5 | Apr 15 | $5 | +$5 | +85% |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Apr 14 | $32 | +$19 | +60% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 04 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Pacers vs. Bulls | Apr 01 | $128 | −$127 | -99% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Mar 31 | $34 | −$34 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Rockets | Mar 31 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Mar 31 | $100 | +$47 | +47% |
| Clippers vs. Pacers | Mar 29 | $31 | +$9 | +28% |
| Rockets vs. Grizzlies | Mar 29 | $35 | +$5 | +15% |
| Heat vs. Cavaliers | Mar 29 | $26 | +$14 | +52% |
| Bucks vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 27 | $4 | +$1 | +18% |
| Raptors vs. Clippers | Mar 27 | $6 | +$4 | +59% |
| Lakers vs. Pacers | Mar 27 | $8 | +$2 | +20% |
| Grizzlies vs. Hawks | Mar 25 | $4 | +$1 | +14% |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Mar 23 | $700 | +$175 | +25% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 23 | $2,000 | −$8 | -0% |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks | Mar 21 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awar | Mar 19 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awa | Mar 19 | $5 | +$2 | +33% |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $10 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awar | Mar 19 | $8 | +$2 | +24% |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 19 | $9 | +$1 | +15% |
| Pacers vs. Bucks | Mar 19 | $22 | +$8 | +37% |