Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:01:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71b5…24bd
crypto · 1167 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$56 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses728 / 439
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1167 / 1167
History coverage84d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day28.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$24
14 days+$19
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 26? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 4°C on March 27? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 27? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 25? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 2°C on March 27? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on March 27? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 24? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on March 25? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on March 29? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +81%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 13 $51 +$29 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +12%
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9? Jun 10 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -35%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Jun 09 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$40
weather 6% −$48
tech 3% +$29
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 9h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -4.5% -13.6% 53% 34% +1.2%
≤30d 127 -6.4% -15.3% 53% 39% -2.9%
≤90d 1167 -3.7% -12.9% 62% 56% -11.9%
all 1167 -3.7% -12.9% 62% 56% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 56% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 39% -20.3%
15% -28.8% 16% -28.0%
20% -35.8% 7% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2548 history records