trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 50% | 10% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 45% | 9% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 45% | 9% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | +1.3% | -8.3% | 42% | 12% | -9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.3% | 12% | -9.1% |
| 10% | -17.1% | 4% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -25.1% | 0% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -32.5% | 0% | -33.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $42 | $42 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $43 | +$3 | +7% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $7 | +$1 | +19% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 17 | $54 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 16 | $82 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $57 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $89 | −$2 | -2% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30? | Jun 18 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 200,000 or more betwe | Jun 16 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Jun 15 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in June? | Jun 14 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will FC Porto win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$4 | +26% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 13? | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025? | Jun 13 | $16 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Je | Jun 10 | $1 | $0 | -22% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 10 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 09 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 09 | $18 | $0 | -1% |