Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T13:39:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x71af…e42e crypto 234 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (2783 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$1,528 (+7%) realized +$1,533 · open −$5
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -37% what you keep after slip
Net edge-37%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate43%101W / 132L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$93per market
Trades / day2783.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$192now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (2783 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-26.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 233 -18.6% -26.3% 43% 2% -9.4%
≤30d 233 -18.6% -26.3% 43% 2% -9.4%
≤90d 233 -18.6% -26.3% 43% 2% -9.4%
all 233 -18.6% -26.3% 43% 2% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2783.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.3% 2% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -33.4% 2% -18.1%
15% -39.8% 2% -26.0%
20% -45.7% 2% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 34% · top 2 54% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
14.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$4 · ×1.37 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.05 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$192
Realized+$1,533
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses101 / 132
Open positions1
Markets (closed)233 / 234
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$93
Trades / day2783.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 233 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $184 $191 +$7 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-84%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 20 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 20 $380 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $40 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $69 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $107 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 20 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 20 $119 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 20 $40 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 20 $69 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 20 $162 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 20 $196 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 20 $79 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 20 $161 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 20 $159 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 20 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 20 $116 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 20 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 20 $40 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 20 $88 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 20 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $40 −$3 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $38 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 20 $162 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $132 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $52 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $79 −$4 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $155 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $154 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $380 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $160 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $162 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $190 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 20 $112 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $148 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $190 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $73 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $16 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $192.00 · official $192.00 (match) · 3500 history records