trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 82% | 45% | +1.3% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 76% | 52% | -11.5% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 76% | 52% | -11.5% |
| all | 21 | -6.8% | -15.7% | 76% | 52% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.7% | 52% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -23.8% | 24% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -31.1% | 10% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -37.9% | 10% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $104 | $104 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 88¢ | 82¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 70¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $96 | +$9 | +9% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $88 | +$8 | +10% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $80 | +$8 | +10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 21 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $59 | +$10 | +16% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $49 | +$9 | +19% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $39 | +$10 | +25% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $34 | +$6 | +16% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 09 | $11 | +$3 | +29% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 09 | $45 | +$8 | +17% |
| Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Jun 06 | $93 | −$93 | -100% |
| Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka | Jun 01 | $5 | +$1 | +24% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $50 | +$5 | +10% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Jun 01 | $40 | +$4 | +11% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 01 | $40 | +$9 | +21% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $10 | +$7 | +68% |