Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:03:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71a9…44a4
crypto · 824 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$358 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$358 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$39
Realized−$358
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses397 / 421
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)818 / 824
History coverage36d
Avg bet$56
Trades / day42.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 818 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$180
7 days−$134
14 days−$1,296
30 days−$293
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 48¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$10 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$19 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$6 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$17 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$39 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $26 +$11 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $104 +$38 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $83 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$17 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$329
other 0% −$28
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 48¢ $2 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $10 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 19¢ $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 99¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $20 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $12 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $31 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -8.2% -17.0% 50% 49% -12.2%
≤30d 784 -4.2% -13.3% 49% 49% -10.1%
≤90d 818 -4.4% -13.5% 49% 48% -10.2%
all 818 -4.4% -13.5% 49% 48% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 48% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.7% 47% -18.8%
15% -29.3% 47% -26.7%
20% -36.2% 45% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.01 · official $39.01 (match) · 1934 history records