Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:37:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x71a8…96c4 crypto 1334 markets active 0h ago coverage 77d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$19 (-0%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1302W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day20.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days−$50
14 days−$47
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$51
world 1% −$2
other 0% +$3
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 285 -0.6% -10.0% 97% 1% -10.1%
≤30d 1013 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 1334 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.7%
all 1334 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover20.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$19 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

77d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1302 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1334 / 1334
History coverage77d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day20.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1334 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 16 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $28 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $29 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2913 history records