Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:13:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x71a7…6fcf
crypto · 111 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$71,932 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$67,591 · open +$3,132
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 41 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,786
7 days+$43,162
14 days+$67,591
30 days+$67,591
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $7,331 $10,823 +$3,492 (+48%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Yes 86¢ 99¢ $6,403 $7,406 +$1,002 (+16%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 90¢ 100¢ $5,054 $5,607 +$553 (+11%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 87¢ 99¢ $3,977 $4,524 +$546 (+14%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 12? No 92¢ 100¢ $1,079 $1,172 +$93 (+9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $805 $823 +$19 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $465 $505 +$40 (+9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $447 $504 +$57 (+13%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 16? Yes 74¢ 94¢ $388 $497 +$109 (+28%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 14? No 88¢ 99¢ $347 $389 +$43 (+12%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 13¢ $703 $342 −$361 (-51%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? No $207 $172 −$34 (-17%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 17? Yes 69¢ 94¢ $114 $154 +$40 (+35%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16? No $199 $136 −$63 (-32%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? No 10¢ $491 $108 −$383 (-78%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? No 16¢ $1,620 $102 −$1,518 (-94%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 16? Yes 85¢ 97¢ $84 $96 +$12 (+14%)
Will the price of XRP be above $0.60 on June 12? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $89 $93 +$4 (+4%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $59 $61 +$2 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? Yes $81 $60 −$21 (-26%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 14? Yes 86¢ 98¢ $43 $50 +$6 (+14%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 13? Yes 80¢ 99¢ $40 $49 +$9 (+23%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? No $192 $44 −$148 (-77%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 16? No 98¢ 100¢ $42 $43 +$1 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 16? No 95¢ 98¢ $28 $29 +$1 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 6? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29? Jun 12 $392 −$374 -95%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 30? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +938%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 29? Jun 12 $141 −$141 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 28? Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 6? Jun 12 $111 −$109 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down on May 19? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? Jun 12 $180 −$79 -44%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $45 +$1,253 +2796%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31? Jun 12 $307 −$175 -57%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30? Jun 12 $32 −$26 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 2? Jun 12 $3,713 −$4,789 -129%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $14 +$29 +208%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 7? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2? Jun 12 $286 +$805 +282%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3? Jun 12 $0 +$28 +34134%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $545 +$40 +7%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1,275 +$127 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,647 +$397 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $5,371 +$457 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,825 +$175 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $12,457 +$4,044 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $21,984 +$5,241 +24%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 10? Jun 10 $10,167 +$544 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 10? Jun 10 $563 +$35 +6%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,285 +$103 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Jun 10 $4,643 +$362 +8%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 11? Jun 10 $69 +$26 +38%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 09 $765 +$382 +50%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 9? Jun 09 $937 −$44 -5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,742 +$121 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $5,531 +$91 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 9? Jun 09 $944 +$73 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 9? Jun 09 $210 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $2,516 +$1,298 +52%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $4,238 +$885 +21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $3,237 +$346 +11%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 8? Jun 08 $203 +$369 +182%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $30 +$166 +560%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,175 +$116 +10%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 8? Jun 08 $70 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,366 +$67 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$74,463
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No $24 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 76¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY No 15¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? BUY Yes 75¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 87¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 87¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 87¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 15¢ $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 17? BUY No 14¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? BUY No 92¢ $0 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY No 90¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY No $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No $2 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 18? BUY Yes $4 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16? BUY Yes $80 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY No $431 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY No $46 12h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 15? BUY No $23 12h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17? BUY Yes $0 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 91¢ $20 13h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY No $14 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? BUY No 10¢ $2 15h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16? BUY No $196 15h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 17? BUY No $0 15h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 17? BUY Yes 91¢ $10 15h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16? BUY No $9 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 88¢ $6 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 87¢ $1 15h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 93¢ $7 15h
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 14? BUY No $17 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)+203.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 +263.9% +229.3% 72% 41% +9.6%
≤30d 93 +235.4% +203.4% 71% 41% +4.9%
≤90d 93 +235.4% +203.4% 71% 41% +4.9%
all 93 +235.4% +203.4% 71% 41% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover265.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +203.4% 41% +4.9%
10% +174.4% 31% -5.2%
15% ← realistic here +147.9% 29% -14.3%
20% +123.6% 27% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33,883.97 · official $33,883.48 (match) · 3500 history records