Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:18:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x71a6…ff12 crypto 1748 markets active 0h ago coverage 19d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 18d only
✗ bot/MM pace (94 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-0%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1736W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day93.5pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$61
14 days−$63
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% $0
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (94 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 657 -4.7% -13.8% 95% 0% -13.8%
≤30d 1777 -1.6% -11.0% 98% 0% -11.0%
≤90d 1777 -1.6% -11.0% 98% 0% -11.0%
all 1777 -1.6% -11.0% 98% 0% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover93.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 0% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 0% -19.5%
15% -27.3% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.29 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

19d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1736 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1777 / 1748
History coverage19d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day93.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1777 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 27 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 21h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.99 · official $1.99 (match) · 3500 history records