Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:56:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x719f…3b73
crypto · 1729 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$57 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1676 / 53
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1729 / 1729
History coverage92d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1729 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$1
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$42
other 2% +$3
sports 2% −$21
weather 2% −$3
tech 1% +$2
politics 1% +$2
culture 1% +$1
finance 0% $0
world 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 132 -0.0% -9.5% 98% 1% -9.5%
≤30d 420 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 1658 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -10.1%
all 1729 -0.5% -10.0% 97% 0% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.0% 0% -10.1%
10% -18.6% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records