Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T23:47:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x719e…c5a9 crypto 81 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (509 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$5,972 (+10%) realized +$5,972 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -6% what you keep after slip
Net edge-6%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate51%41W / 40L
Whale WR57%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$763per market
Trades / day509.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$4,229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (509 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 81 +27.0% +14.9% 51% 49% -3.3%
≤30d 81 +27.0% +14.9% 51% 49% -3.3%
≤90d 81 +27.0% +14.9% 51% 49% -3.3%
all 81 +27.0% +14.9% 51% 49% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover509.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +14.9% 49% -3.3%
10% +3.9% 49% -12.6%
15% ← realistic here -6.1% 49% -21.0%
20% -15.3% 48% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +27% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 57% (≥$802) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +11% → late +42% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
39.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$813 vs −$728 · ×1.12 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.15 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,972
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses41 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 81
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$763
Trades / day509.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 81 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 20 $254 −$254 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $54 +$120 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 20 $420 −$180 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $182 −$182 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 20 $123 +$377 +306%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 20 $227 −$227 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 20 $19 +$23 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 20 $121 −$91 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 20 $1,411 +$1,799 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 20 $226 +$266 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 20 $3,240 +$1,694 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 20 $258 +$459 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 20 $681 −$655 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 20 $622 −$622 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 20 $281 +$329 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 20 $425 −$425 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 20 $597 +$1,099 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 20 $2,033 −$2,033 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 20 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 20 $24 +$43 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 20 $169 +$252 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 20 $371 +$954 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 20 $802 +$962 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 20 $406 −$406 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 20 $325 +$495 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 20 $198 +$290 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 20 $1,197 +$1,666 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 20 $552 −$552 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 20 $1,210 +$2,605 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 20 $140 +$233 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $357 −$357 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 20 $426 −$426 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $566 −$566 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 20 $466 −$466 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 20 $0 +$2 +400%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $611 +$917 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $361 −$361 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 20 $366 +$560 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 20 $130 −$119 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 20 $231 +$448 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 20 $256 −$256 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $265 +$617 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $436 +$654 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $1,072 −$1,072 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 19 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $185 −$185 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $387 +$581 +150%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $9 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $12 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records