Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:02:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x719d…a545
crypto · 395 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$257 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$257 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$257
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses218 / 177
Open positions0
Markets (closed)395 / 395
History coverage58d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 395 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$140
7 days−$271
14 days−$271
30 days−$413
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$12 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$18 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$20 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$15 -73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -81%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$14 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$14 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$6 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$17 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$10 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$14 -68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$257
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $19 24h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $8 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $6 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $21 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $10 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $14 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $6 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $21 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 -10.1% -18.7% 62% 62% -18.8%
≤30d 287 -7.9% -16.7% 57% 56% -21.8%
≤90d 395 -5.3% -14.3% 55% 53% -15.5%
all 395 -5.3% -14.3% 55% 53% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 53% -15.5%
10% -22.5% 42% -23.6%
15% -30.0% 26% -31.0%
20% -36.9% 13% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 999 history records