Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:33:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7193…1a92
sports · 49 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$27 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$30
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses10 / 27
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions12
Markets (closed)37 / 49
History coverage7d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 12 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$7
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 38¢ 38¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 6¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+73%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 18¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+21%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Over 4¢ 4¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 +$10 +248%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +108%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -91%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -78%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $20 −$11 -55%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $16 −$1 -7%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: Costa Rica O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $5 −$2 -38%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $4 −$1 -21%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 +$14 +138%
Exact Score: Belarus 1 - 1 Burkina Faso? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 +$8 +164%
Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? Jun 10 $6 +$13 +214%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $12 +$14 +113%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $20 −$11 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$4 +206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3AM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Morocco vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw? Jun 08 $6 +$15 +248%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $7 +$15 +205%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $5 −$3 -55%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$4 +135%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 06 $13 −$13 -100%
Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026 Jun 06 $4 $0 -8%
Will CD Castellón vs. UD Almería end in a draw? Jun 06 $6 −$1 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$10
other 22% +$37
crypto 20% −$45
world 16% −$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 38¢ $8 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 4¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $16 1h
Will Wemby Cry During the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 26h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 26h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 26h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $10 29h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $4 29h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 35¢ $15 29h
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? BUY Yes 23¢ $3 2d
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $3 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: Costa Rica O/U 0.5 SELL Over 26¢ $3 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 20¢ $3 2d
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 2d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $16 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: Costa Rica O/U 0.5 BUY Over 40¢ $5 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 24¢ $4 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $17 2d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 4d
Exact Score: Belarus 1 - 1 Burkina Faso? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 4d
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? BUY Yes 41¢ $10 4d
UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 37¢ $5 4d
Will Belarus vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $6 4d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 15¢ $4 4d
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 21¢ $4 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 8? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -3.3% -12.5% 30% 30% -12.2%
≤30d 37 -8.9% -17.5% 27% 27% -19.9%
≤90d 37 -8.9% -17.5% 27% 27% -19.9%
all 37 -8.9% -17.5% 27% 27% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.5% 27% -19.9%
10% -25.4% 27% -27.6%
15% -32.6% 27% -34.6%
20% -39.2% 27% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.38 · official $52.38 (match) · 94 history records