Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7191…c3a7
other · 203 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$60 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$116 · open −$96
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$635
Realized+$116
Unrealized−$96
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses172 / 13
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions18
Markets (closed)185 / 203
History coverage84d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown31%
Kalshi-fit3%
Chart Positions 18 History 185 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days−$12
14 days−$6
30 days+$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Mostafa Zico: 3+ goals No 94¢ 96¢ $85 $87 +$2 (+2%)
Nilson Angulo: 3+ goals No 95¢ 97¢ $68 $69 +$1 (+1%)
John Yeboah: 3+ goals No 96¢ 95¢ $57 $57 −$0 (-1%)
Dailon Livramento: 3+ goals No 91¢ 98¢ $48 $52 +$3 (+7%)
Hazem Mastouri: 3+ goals No 96¢ 98¢ $47 $49 +$1 (+3%)
Hamza Abdelkarim: 3+ goals No 94¢ 96¢ $42 $42 +$1 (+2%)
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals No 98¢ 66¢ $51 $34 −$17 (-33%)
Saleh Al Shehri: 3+ goals No 93¢ 96¢ $33 $34 +$1 (+4%)
Augustine Boakye: 3+ goals No 98¢ 66¢ $44 $30 −$14 (-33%)
Tomás Rodríguez: 3+ goals No 98¢ 62¢ $44 $28 −$16 (-37%)
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals No 98¢ 66¢ $38 $26 −$12 (-32%)
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals No 98¢ 64¢ $38 $25 −$13 (-35%)
Ben Waine: 3+ goals No 96¢ 98¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+2%)
Petar Musa: 3+ goals No 98¢ 65¢ $32 $21 −$11 (-34%)
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals No 98¢ 64¢ $29 $19 −$10 (-34%)
Simon Adingra: 3+ goals No 97¢ 96¢ $18 $17 −$0 (-2%)
Theo Bongonda: 2+ goals No 95¢ 60¢ $25 $16 −$9 (-37%)
José Fajardo: 3+ goals No 98¢ 70¢ $7 $5 −$2 (-28%)
Alexis Vega: 1+ shots Yes 83¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 1+ shots Yes 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tete Yengi: 3+ goals Jun 14 $33 +$2 +7%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots Jun 14 $20 +$3 +18%
Raphinha: 1+ shots Jun 14 $16 +$3 +19%
Ayoub El Kaabi: 3+ goals Jun 14 $61 +$5 +8%
Almoez Ali: 3+ goals Jun 13 $85 +$4 +5%
Ahmed Alaa: 3+ goals Jun 13 $107 +$6 +5%
Julio César Enciso: 3+ goals Jun 13 $29 +$2 +5%
Alexis Vega: 2+ shots Jun 11 $25 +$2 +7%
Alexis Vega: 1+ shots Jun 11 $38 −$36 -96%
Raúl Jiménez: 1+ shots Jun 11 $22 +$1 +4%
Barış Alper Yılmaz: 1+ shots Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $8 +$1 +14%
Will Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup Jun 02 $132 +$3 +3%
Will Franco Mastantuono be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Jun 02 $46 +$1 +2%
Will Tomás Palacios be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup Jun 02 $34 +$1 +2%
Will Alejandro Garnacho be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Jun 02 $52 +$1 +1%
Will Gianluca Prestianni be included in Argentina's official 2026 Worl Jun 02 $76 +$1 +1%
Will Alexis Mac Allister be included in Argentina's official 2026 Worl May 29 $15 $0 +1%
Will Emiliano Martínez be included in Argentina's official 2026 World May 29 $60 $0 +0%
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Canadi May 25 $29 $0 +1%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Gran May 25 $99 +$1 +1%
Vasilije Adzic: Anytime Goalscorer May 25 $29 +$1 +2%
Cheveyo Balentien: Anytime Goalscorer May 25 $57 +$2 +3%
Lorenzo Venturino: Anytime Goalscorer May 25 $42 +$2 +4%
Filip Marchwinski: Anytime Goalscorer May 24 $78 +$2 +3%
Alessandro Cardinali: Anytime Goalscorer May 24 $43 +$2 +6%
Luca Moro: Anytime Goalscorer May 24 $24 +$1 +3%
Arnaut Danjuma: Anytime Goalscorer May 23 $21 +$6 +31%
Fabiano Parisi: Anytime Goalscorer May 22 $50 +$2 +4%
Jamie Gittens: Anytime Goalscorer May 19 $157 +$1 +1%
Christian Norgaard: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $23 +$2 +7%
Aleksandr Golovin: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $8 $0 +1%
Ghianny Kodia: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $82 +$2 +2%
Jean-Baptiste Bosey: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $9 $0 +2%
Tadjidine Mmadi: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $24 +$1 +4%
Mathieu Cafaro: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $36 +$1 +4%
Djibril Coulibaly: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $66 +$1 +2%
Selton Sanchez: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $31 +$1 +4%
Asier Hierro: Anytime Goalscorer May 18 $32 +$1 +4%
Ismael Gharbi: Anytime Goalscorer May 16 $42 +$2 +6%
Dani Ceballos: Anytime Goalscorer May 14 $35 +$1 +4%
Ricard Artero Ruiz: Anytime Goalscorer May 14 $24 +$1 +4%
Donny Van De Beek: Anytime Goalscorer May 14 $25 +$1 +5%
Papa Dame Ba: Anytime Goalscorer May 14 $44 +$2 +4%
Juan Arango: Anytime Goalscorer May 14 $44 +$2 +4%
Alejandro Mestanza: Anytime Goalscorer May 14 $45 +$2 +4%
Joselu Perez: Anytime Goalscorer May 14 $32 +$1 +3%
Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorer May 13 $6 $0 +8%
Mariano Diaz: Anytime Goalscorer May 13 $24 +$1 +4%
Asier Hierro: Anytime Goalscorer May 13 $25 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 97% +$35
culture 3% −$1
sports 1% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Simon Adingra: 3+ goals BUY No 97¢ $18 53m
Tomás Rodríguez: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 56m
Tomás Rodríguez: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 56m
Tomás Rodríguez: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 56m
Tomás Rodríguez: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 56m
Tomás Rodríguez: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 57m
Tomás Rodríguez: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 57m
José Fajardo: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 59m
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ernest Nuamah: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Augustine Boakye: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Augustine Boakye: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Augustine Boakye: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Augustine Boakye: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Augustine Boakye: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Augustine Boakye: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $8 1h
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Petar Musa: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $10 1h
Petar Musa: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Petar Musa: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Petar Musa: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $7 1h
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals BUY No 98¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -8.9% -17.6% 83% 25% -4.3%
≤30d 40 -0.1% -9.6% 95% 10% -6.4%
≤90d 185 +4.8% -5.2% 93% 8% -6.3%
all 185 +4.8% -5.2% 93% 8% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.2% 8% -6.3%
10% -14.3% 4% -15.3%
15% -22.5% 3% -23.5%
20% -30.1% 2% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $634.76 · official $634.77 (match) · 511 history records