Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T13:38:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x7185…c4b9 crypto 252 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$76 (-2%) realized −$76 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate45%113W / 139L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day67.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$498
7 days−$233
14 days−$232
30 days−$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$230
other 1% −$3
sports 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 249 -4.6% -13.7% 45% 45% -16.3%
≤30d 252 -4.4% -13.5% 45% 45% -16.3%
≤90d 252 -4.4% -13.5% 45% 45% -16.3%
all 252 -4.4% -13.5% 45% 45% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 45% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 44% -24.3%
15% -29.3% 44% -31.6%
20% -36.3% 44% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$12 · ×1.06 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$76
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses113 / 139
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)252 / 252
History coverage7d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day67.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 252 Trades
no open positions (111 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$14 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$15 +140%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 23 $10 +$12 +122%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $41 +$34 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 23 $16 +$159 +996%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 23 $196 −$190 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 23 $41 −$41 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 23 $52 −$50 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 23 $41 −$40 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 23 $20 +$20 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 23 $20 −$19 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 23 $10 −$9 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$9 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 22 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 22 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 22 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 22 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 22 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 22 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$14 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$10 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$9 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$13 +132%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$16 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 22 $10 +$9 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 21 $10 +$9 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $75 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $41 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $175 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $93 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $103 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $41 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $21 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 607 history records