trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +46.9% | +32.9% | 40% | 40% | -12.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +61.3% | +45.9% | 44% | 44% | +30.3% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +74.4% | +57.8% | 33% | 33% | -11.6% |
| all | 26 | +46.9% | +32.9% | 42% | 35% | -8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +32.9% | 35% | -8.4% |
| 10% | +20.2% | 27% | -17.2% |
| 15% | +8.6% | 27% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -2.1% | 23% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $3,020 | $2,577 | −$443 (-15%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | $500 | $547 | +$47 (+9%) |
| Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 33¢ | 30¢ | $218 | $202 | −$16 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $305 | +$384 | +126% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $205 | +$838 | +409% |
| Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-05-31? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1,021 | −$1,021 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 13 | $205 | −$205 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $1,437 | −$218 | -15% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $260 | −$8 | -3% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 31 | $502 | +$1,193 | +238% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | May 22 | $999 | +$1,060 | +106% |
| Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025? | Mar 23 | $1,495 | −$1,495 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Mar 23 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 22 | $186 | −$186 | -100% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | Mar 22 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5) | Mar 22 | $997 | −$997 | -100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 31? | Mar 22 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 22 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $1,737 | +$619 | +36% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 22 | $50 | +$726 | +1452% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs | Mar 21 | $1,029 | +$208 | +20% |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Mar 21 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Mar 21 | $998 | −$998 | -100% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 18 | $30 | −$18 | -61% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 18 | $1,511 | +$177 | +12% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 16 | $502 | +$487 | +97% |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $6,000 | +$576 | +10% |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Oct 30 | $29,964 | +$487 | +2% |