trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +33.2% | +20.5% | 100% | 100% | +20.5% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +33.2% | +20.5% | 100% | 100% | +20.5% |
| all | 15 | +121.4% | +100.3% | 47% | 40% | +106.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +100.3% | 40% | +106.5% |
| 10% | +81.2% | 33% | +86.7% |
| 15% | +63.7% | 27% | +68.7% |
| 20% | +47.6% | 20% | +52.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $238 | $224 | −$14 (-6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | Jun 10 | $33 | +$11 | +33% |
| Will Real Madrid vs. Mallorca end in a draw? | May 14 | $22 | +$14 | +67% |
| Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan | May 14 | $22 | $0 | -2% |
| Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9? | May 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope? | May 09 | $6 | +$1 | +22% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Péter Erdő be the next pope? | May 09 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots? | May 09 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope? | May 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $33 | +$14 | +43% |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | May 09 | $30 | −$16 | -53% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 08 | $13 | +$798 | +6144% |
| Will Peter Turkson be the next pope? | Apr 29 | $5 | +$7 | +133% |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | Apr 22 | $10 | −$2 | -20% |