Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:45:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7179…7d79
sports · 1624 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$4,520 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,507 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$350
Realized+$4,507
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses858 / 642
Est. fees paid−$769
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1500 / 1624
History coverage21d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day118.5
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 10 History 1500 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$678
7 days−$277
14 days+$1,931
30 days+$4,506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Marc-Andrea Huesler 42¢ 54¢ $72 $92 +$20 (+28%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) B8 45¢ 100¢ $40 $88 +$48 (+123%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Harry Wendelken 44¢ 75¢ $36 $61 +$25 (+70%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 50¢ 74¢ $36 $53 +$17 (+47%)
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 48¢ 44¢ $41 $38 −$3 (-7%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 43¢ 100¢ $7 $17 +$10 (+135%)
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Valle (+1.5) Jong 55¢ 50¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 56¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Panna Udvardy vs. Viktorija Golubic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstat Jan Kumstat 53¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Sho Shimabukuro 52¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 57¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Hurricanes 43¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 46¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 49¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. AC Monza: O/U 0.5 Under 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Cholet Cholet 52¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Cincinnati Reds 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 53¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Eintracht Spandau 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 40¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Kudermetova (+1.5) Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Set Handicap: Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Ribera (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Wuerzburg vs. Telekom Baskets Bonn Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FK Karpaty Lviv win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Mboko vs Cristian Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cina Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Set Handicap: Krueger (-1.5) vs Stoiana (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Minaur vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
ITF Portoroz: Dalila Jakupovic vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Set Handicap: Nava (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
ITF Wuning: Patcharin Cheapchandej vs Yidi Yang Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Will Tala'ea El Gaish SC win on 2026-05-22? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Cervia: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Tommaso Compagnucci Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Ne Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Istanbul: Franco Agamenone vs Andrej Nedic Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5) Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $37 +$45 +124%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $15 +$15 +97%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $34 +$39 +114%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $37 +$37 +101%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Krejcikova vs. Linette: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $37 −$36 -99%
Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs Sachko Jun 13 $0 $0 -98%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $15 +$11 +76%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $37 +$33 +90%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +124%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $25 −$24 -98%
Set Handicap: Sato (-1.5) vs Nishimura (+1.5) Jun 13 $12 +$11 +97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $37 +$42 +114%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $37 +$37 +101%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $37 +$37 +101%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 12 $19 +$19 +101%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $73 +$80 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% +$5,118
other 8% −$153
crypto 0% +$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 37¢ $37 3m
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 48¢ $37 18m
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 47¢ $5 19m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 48¢ $37 36m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 44¢ $37 37m
Set Handicap: Jong (-1.5) vs Valle (+1.5) BUY Jong 55¢ $0 51m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 50¢ $37 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $37 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 52¢ $5 2h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano BUY Filippo Romano 50¢ $15 2h
Krejcikova vs. Linette: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Over 57¢ $3 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Sho Shimabukuro 52¢ $37 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 54¢ $35 3h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 58¢ $35 3h
Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs Sachko BUY Sachko 45¢ $0 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 45¢ $37 4h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY B8 44¢ $4 4h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 56¢ $7 6h
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito BUY Yujia Huang 56¢ $7 6h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 46¢ $34 6h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 49¢ $37 6h
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan BUY Naoya Honda 52¢ $37 7h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 49¢ $25 9h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 48¢ $0 9h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $37 10h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 46¢ $37 11h
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) BUY Houston Astros 42¢ $2 11h
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves BUY Toronto Marlies 40¢ $2 11h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 49¢ $37 11h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 44¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 399 +1.2% -8.5% 49% 49% -11.2%
≤30d 1500 +13.6% +2.8% 57% 57% -1.6%
≤90d 1500 +13.6% +2.8% 57% 57% -1.6%
all 1500 +13.6% +2.8% 57% 57% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.8% 57% -1.6%
10% ← realistic here -7.0% 56% -11.0%
15% -16.0% 53% -19.6%
20% -24.2% 46% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $349.81 · official $360.07 · 3500 history records