Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7178…23e3
crypto · 510 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$13 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$15
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses450 / 59
Open positions1
Markets (closed)509 / 510
History coverage16d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day36.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 509 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$27
14 days+$36
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 97¢ 84¢ $10 $8 −$1 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 444 +0.9% -8.7% 94% 7% -8.8%
≤30d 509 -0.5% -9.9% 88% 13% -9.2%
≤90d 509 -0.5% -9.9% 88% 13% -9.2%
all 509 -0.5% -9.9% 88% 13% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 13% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 11% -17.8%
15% -26.4% 10% -25.8%
20% -33.6% 8% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.35 · official $8.15 (match) · 1012 history records