Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:37:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x7173…7a4c crypto 765 markets active 1h ago coverage 42d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ bot/MM pace (69 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$832 (+0%) realized +$832 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate84%645W / 120L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$226per market
Trades / day69.5pace
Fees−$163est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$260
7 days+$846
14 days+$1,066
30 days+$636
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$1,484
sports 5% −$387
other 0% −$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (69 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +1.1% -8.6% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 399 -4.2% -13.3% 92% 1% -9.1%
≤90d 765 +0.2% -9.3% 84% 5% -9.0%
all 765 +0.2% -9.3% 84% 5% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover69.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 5% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 4% -17.7%
15% -25.9% 2% -25.7%
20% -33.2% 2% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$16 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.5 per $1 lost it wins $1.5
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$832
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses645 / 120
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$163
Open positions0
Markets (closed)765 / 765
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$226
Trades / day69.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 765 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $1,954 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1,604 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $1,922 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $1,904 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $474 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $1,883 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $453 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $1,861 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 16 $1,844 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $1,002 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $1,818 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 16 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $1,801 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1,785 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $1,768 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $1,752 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1,733 +$19 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $1,717 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $1,702 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $1,686 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $473 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $1,665 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $1,651 +$16 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $1,636 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $1,621 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $1,606 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $1,592 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $1,577 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1,563 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1,548 +$15 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $1,534 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,520 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $1,506 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $1,493 +$14 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $794 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $787 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $579 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $774 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $767 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $760 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $753 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $746 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $740 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $733 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $726 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $719 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $713 +$7 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,954 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $275 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,329 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,922 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,904 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $474 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,386 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $497 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $453 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,861 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,844 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,002 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,804 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $41 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,801 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,785 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,768 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,752 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,733 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,717 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,702 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,686 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $473 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,665 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,651 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,636 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records