Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:59:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
71 0x7172…2e8b crypto 561 markets active 1h ago coverage 16d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$267 (+0%) realized +$267 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%548W / 13L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown13%max
Avg bet$146per market
Trades / day51.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$210now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$27
7 days+$137
14 days+$213
30 days+$248
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$195
other 5% +$50
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 561 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 0% -9.2%
≤90d 561 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 0% -9.2%
all 561 +0.4% -9.2% 98% 0% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.2% 0% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×6.19 per $1 lost it wins $6.19
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

16d coverage
Net worth$210
Realized+$267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses548 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)561 / 561
History coverage16d
Avg bet$146
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 561 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $208 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin above 67,200 on June 16, 2PM ET? Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 2PM ET? Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,840 on June 16, 2PM ET? Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 16, 2PM ET? Jun 17 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $90 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,200 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $126 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,600 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,850 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,820 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,860 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,840 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,800 on June 16, 1PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,820 on June 16, 12PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 16, 12PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 16, 12PM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16? Jun 16 $229 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 16? Jun 16 $306 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $696 +$4 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET Jun 16 $31 $0 +1%
Ethereum above 1,770 on June 16, 10AM ET? Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 16, 10AM ET? Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 68,400 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,850 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,860 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 68,200 on June 16, 9AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $99 +$1 +1%
Ethereum above 1,840 on June 16, 8AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 8AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,850 on June 16, 8AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 16, 8AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,600 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $35 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,850 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 64,800 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 65,000 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 68,200 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,870 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 68,600 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,860 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 16, 7AM ET? Jun 16 $150 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $203 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 1h
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 16, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 23h
Ethereum above 1,840 on June 16, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 23h
Bitcoin above 67,000 on June 16, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 23h
Bitcoin above 67,200 on June 16, 2PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 23h
Ethereum above 1,730 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $90 24h
Ethereum above 1,720 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 24h
Ethereum above 1,710 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 24h
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 24h
Bitcoin above 66,800 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Ethereum above 1,820 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Bitcoin above 67,200 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $126 24h
Ethereum above 1,840 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Ethereum above 1,860 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $124 24h
Bitcoin above 67,800 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Bitcoin above 67,400 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $25 24h
Bitcoin above 67,600 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Ethereum above 1,850 on June 16, 1PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 24h
Ethereum above 1,750 on June 16, 12PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $150 25h
Ethereum above 1,820 on June 16, 12PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 25h
Ethereum above 1,830 on June 16, 12PM ET? BUY No 100¢ $150 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $500 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 25h
HYPE Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $31 26h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 16? BUY Down 99¢ $99 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $210.00 · official $210.00 (match) · 1391 history records