Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:42:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7170…d412
crypto · 1264 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$457 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$457 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$457
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses548 / 678
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1226 / 1264
History coverage69d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1226 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days+$15
14 days+$17
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C or higher on April 11? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$2 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$6 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$6 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$8 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +210%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$17 +1567%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$5 +354%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$442
sports 0% −$9
weather 0% −$3
tech 0% $0
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 46m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 163 +14.5% +3.6% 29% 29% -3.9%
≤30d 579 +1.5% -8.2% 45% 44% -9.7%
≤90d 1226 -8.5% -17.3% 45% 43% -20.1%
all 1226 -8.5% -17.3% 45% 43% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 43% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.2% 40% -27.7%
15% -32.4% 35% -34.7%
20% -39.0% 29% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records